The predicted crimson wave turned out to be a ripple on the nationwide stage, however the identical can’t be mentioned of Florida. A massive win for Gov. Ron DeSantis, a bigger than anticipated victory for Sen. Marco Rubio, a GOP pickup of 4 House seats, historic percentages of minorities voting Republican and Miami Dade going crimson for the primary time since 2002 all spell bother for Democrats — not simply in Florida, however in New York and nationally.
DeSantis trounced Democrat Charlie Crist, who served as Florida governor from 2007 to 2011, when Democrats had a agency maintain on the state. Back then, Crist’s model of average progressivism was in vogue, as we noticed in leaders like Mayor Michael Bloomberg and President Barack Obama. For good cause: It valued capitalism, fought crime, championed American values and received elections.
Unfortunately, this 12 months Democrats fielded a slate of ultra-liberal candidates, who look like out of contact with even their very own voters. Florida Democrats, comparable to Attorney General candidate Aramis Ayala, displayed the party’s new model of poisonous progressivism, which options woke lectures on gender and race, refusal to implement immigration legal guidelines and dismissal of crime as a non-issue. The Florida Democratic Party was unable to corral the left to the middle. And the outcomes converse for themselves.
Meanwhile, DeSantis received re-election by almost 20 factors and made vital inroads in deeply blue areas, placing him on sturdy footing for a presidential bid in 2024. Exit polls show him successful Latinos by 13 factors, a major shift since 2020, when Donald Trump misplaced them by 7 factors. DeSantis additionally held an edge amongst Florida’s independents, whom Trump misplaced in 2020 by 11 factors.
These numbers are an indication that key Democratic constituencies really feel more and more deserted by their very own party. If DeSantis might win these votes in Florida in 2022, he — or another person — might win them nationally in 2024. The prospect evokes the picture of one other “Gov. Ron” from California, who efficiently stole the White House in 1980 from President Jimmy Carter (a Biden-esque determine in his personal proper).
It’s not too late for Democrats to save lots of themselves if they modify their methods. Democrats should notice their stubborn refusal to prosecute crime has price lives in inside cities and minority communities throughout America. If Democrats want to keep away from alienating minority voters like they did in Florida, they need to reestablish themselves as a party of regulation and order, and quick.
They should additionally acknowledge that Democratic failures on immigration are hurting immigrant communities most of all, and that if they permit the disaster to unfold nationwide, the rightward shift of Hispanic voters will unfold with it. Like Texas, Florida is a number one indicator of nationwide attitudes on immigration, and the shift of the state’s Latino voters towards the best ought to scare each supporter of open borders on the DNC.
Finally, Democrats must acknowledge that DeSantis’ campaign towards woke politics, significantly in schooling coverage, seems to have linked with voters. All however probably the most progressive-minded dad and mom look like, at greatest, cautious of the far left’s attitudes on gender and sexual schooling for kids. National Democrats ought to look very rigorously at how these points performed into DeSantis’ palms earlier than the injury spreads.
The adage nonetheless holds true: As goes Florida, so goes the nation. This is as a result of Florida is a microcosm of America. Miami is the “new New York,” representing the American Dream to so many, whether or not immigrants from the south or northeasterners searching for to flee their more and more chaotic cities. The complete state, far out of your conventional crimson state, is a melting pot of individuals from everywhere in the nation and the world.
DeSantis — maybe much more than Trump — is now the antithesis of the whole lot Democrats stand for on the nationwide stage. The indisputable fact that he received so handily in a state lengthy thought-about “purple” ought to forestall Democrats from falling into complacency over their stronger efficiency in different states this week, which says extra concerning the weak spot of some GOP candidates than the energy of Democrats.
This 12 months’s midterms have been necessary, however they weren’t “a very powerful election of our lifetimes,” as President Joe Biden repeatedly claimed. The subsequent presidential election shall be vastly extra necessary. Democrats in New York and throughout the nation have an opportunity to study from the glimpse into the long run that Florida offered, and to alter their methods accordingly. If they do, they’ll have a shot at redemption.
Philip Levine, a cruise-industry entrepreneur, is a former two-term mayor of Miami Beach and onetime Democratic candidate for governor of Florida.