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CPRC within the News: Washington Examiner, The New York Sun, MRC TV, Gainesville Time, and way more


Total gun deaths elevated from 43,664 in 2020 to 44,991 in 2021, in line with the Gun Violence Archive, which makes use of media stories as a part of its knowledge assortment. Homicides with weapons additionally rose from 19,508 in 2020 to twenty,901 in 2021, in line with the archive. 

Some gun rights activists dispute the Gun Violence Archive’s knowledge assortment strategies. John Lott, president of the Crime Prevention Research Center, criticized the group’s reliance on media stories and highlighted a examine by the Justice Department that discovered the speed of gun victimization declined from 2019 to 2020. . . .

Ryan King, “Teenagers carrying handguns rose 41% over the past 20 years: Study,” The Washington Examiner, April 27, 2022.




For these of us who’ve learn John Lott’s wonderful 1998 guide, “More Guns, Less Crime,” that is outdated information. We know that in it, Lott coated the truth that within the US the so-called “hot burglary” fee is far decrease than the “hot burglary rate” in gun-grabbed England.

“Hot” burglaries are these by which criminals break into properties with out “casing” them to see resident patterns and, because of this, use that information to enter when the resident is away.

In the US, burglars are more likely to “case.” Why?

Lott writes (p 5):

Convicted felons reveal in surveys that they’re much extra fearful about operating into armed victims than about operating into police. The concern of doubtless armed victims causes American burglars to spend extra time… ‘casing’ a home to insure no person is house.

P. Gardner Goldsmith, “(Not So) Shocking Study: Gun Ownership Leads to Lower Burglary Rates,” MRC TV, May 3, 2022.

John R. Lott Jr., founding father of Crime Prevention Research Center, mentioned in a “Critical American Elections” speech on September 20, 2021: “The U.S. is an outlier among the world’s democracies in not requiring voter ID. Of the 47 countries in Europe today, 46 of them require government-issued photo IDs to vote.”

Dick Biggs, “Dems use voter suppression as excuse for loss,” Gainesville Times, April 28, 2022.

Wealthy and predominantly white neighborhoods have skilled the sharpest upticks in a big selection of crimes, in line with an evaluation carried out for RealClearInvestigations by criminologist John Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center. . . .

Lott’s evaluation (knowledge right here), which correlates census and LAPD crime statistics for the interval January 2019 to January 2022, additionally reveals that these neighborhoods now account for a lot higher shares of the whole variety of crimes dedicated in Los Angeles. It exhibits that the richer and whiter the world, the higher the rise in each uncooked crime totals and percentages of whole metropolis crime.  This consists of a variety of felonies, from theft, housebreaking, shoplifting and automobile theft to aggravated assault and rape. Although poor and minority neighborhoods nonetheless expertise the most important whole variety of crimes, together with violent crimes resembling homicide, the shift to comparatively safer neighborhoods is pronounced.

While the whole variety of rapes fell in Los Angeles throughout the 37-month interval studied, their share spiked in predominantly white neighborhoods – rising 18.2% in neighborhoods the place they comprise 81% to 100% of residents. 

Lott’s evaluation discovered an analogous development for aggravated assault. 

Lott additionally discovered that whereas the variety of reported robberies throughout the town has fallen barely, the share of whole crimes elevated sharply in wealthier and whiter zip codes, rising by 11.8% yearly over the 37 months in essentially the most closely white neighborhoods.

“For median house values, the share of robberies fell for the highest valued homes by 4.9%, but they rose by 9.7% annually for zip codes where the median house was $1 million to $1.5 million, and by 15.2% for zip codes where the median house was $1.5 million to $2 million,” Lott mentioned. 

Fear is extra pronounced than ever in posh areas, in line with a number of Angelenos aware of the turf of the wealthy and well-known. This is evidently partly as a result of the flowery wheels usually seen on the streets of Beverly Hills, Brentwood, or different upscale communities have additionally been the prime targets of thieves, Lott’s evaluation indicated. . . .

James Varney, “LA’s Crime Surge Migrates to Wealthy, Whiter Zip Codes of Boldface Names,” Black Hills Pioneer, May 2, 2022.

An economist and gun coverage researcher, John Lott, informed the Sun he was skeptical of attributing any rise within the fee of homicides — with a handgun or in any other case — to the enlargement of hid carry, saying “permit holders tend to be extremely law-abiding,” with low arrest charges for firearm-related offenses.

The District of Columbia supplies an inconvenient instance for advocates of gun management. In 2019 the district had 19.20 murders per 100,000 folks despite its strict gun management legal guidelines.

Mr. Lott predicted {that a} extra liberal hid carry regulation would make New Yorkers safer if the state made it simple to accumulate a allow.

“Not only does the cost affect the number of people who get permits but it has a very important effect on the type of people who get concealed carry permits,” Mr. Lott mentioned.

He argued that an enlargement of hid carry, with out the implementation of prohibitive charges, would profit poorer, primarily black communities in New York’s cities as a deterrent to crime.

Russell Payne, “Sullivan’s Follies, III: What ‘Shall Issue’ Could Look Like in New York,” The New York Sun, April 16, 2022.

Criminologist Gary Kleck and economist and gun rights advocate John R. Lott Jr. are sometimes quoted on the topic. Both depend on surveys considered extremely flawed to assert that greater than 2 million gun-use deaths happen every year. Yet respected evaluation put such deaths at round 2,000 a 12 months, not 2 million.

Steven J. Sainbury, “Thinking of buying a gun for self-defense? It’s a deadly decision,” The Chronicle (Eastern Connecticut), May 2, 2022.

“More Guns, Less Crime”, by Professor John Lott. Professor Lott conducts an in depth evaluation of crime statistics in a cluster of midwestern states, discovering that these states legalizing “concealed carry” see a drop in violent crime, whereas neighboring states see a rise. Apparently, criminals transfer their actions to a location the place they’ve a greater likelihood of success. . . .

Frederick Salek, “‘Bannin’ isn’t bad,” Gettysburg TImes, May 3, 2022.

Criminologist Dr. John Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center examined how the areas of crime have modified throughout 2019 to 2022, utilizing Los Angeles census and crime statistics. In that metropolis, “the richer and whiter the area, the greater the increase in both raw crime totals and percentages of total city crime,” together with violent felonies. “Although poor and minority neighborhoods still experience the largest total number of crimes, including violent crimes such as murder, the shift to relatively safer neighborhoods is pronounced.” For occasion, the development for robberies throughout the examine interval indicated that, whereas the general fee within the metropolis dipped barely, it elevated considerably in wealthier areas. A 9.7% annual improve occurred “for zip codes where the median house was $1 million to $1.5 million, and 15.2% for zip codes where the median house was $1.5 million to $2 million.” Other sorts of theft, rape, and aggravated assault crimes adopted an analogous sample.

Staff, “More Crime, Same (Lame) Gun Control Proposals,” NRA-ILA, May 2, 2022.

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